5 Wise MLB Bets for September 17 and September 18, 2022

This article is provided by DraftKings. For more information on sports betting, check out DraftKings.

With a pair of matchups on Saturday, there are plenty of MLB betting options this weekend at the DraftKings Sportsbook. Here are five that stand out.

Altuve lining up against a lefty always puts this play on the radar. He’s hitting .323 with a ridiculous .331 ISO against southpaws this year. The main reason for all that power is the amount of hard contact he makes (43.9 percent) while getting the ball up in the air (35.9 percent ground ball rate).

Cole Irvin is not a lefty, which he has done a lot against in the past. Altuve has just three extra-base hits against him (all doubles) in 24 plate appearances. However, Irvin has given up nine doubles, three home runs and a .281 average to righties in his last five starts. They rarely hit ground balls (33.3 percent) during that span as well. It all speaks to a nice day from Altuve, who is expected after failing to register a hit in back-to-back games

The Mets just saw Wilson in massive relief on September 7th and scored three runs against him. While that doesn’t guarantee anything, it was a pretty safe bet to back Wilson, who has given up three-plus earned runs this season. He’s done it in each of his last six outings, 12 of his 17 starts and two of his four relief appearances — 14 of his 21 total.

It took six innings for the Mets to get to that number Friday, but Mitch Keller is a much tougher matchup than Wilson. And while the Mets aren’t the most potent lineup against righties in recent memory, they’re far from the worst. They also hit a lot of linebackers (22.7 percent in September) and remain one of the toughest lineups for righties to hit (17.1 percent K this month), both of which indicate there’s more to come. a good day against a righty who has given up a 25% line drive rate over his last five starts and never struck out many hitters.

There aren’t many teams that have better odds to win this weekend, and understandably so. The Cardinals have one of the best offenses in baseball, are always good at home, and St. Louis has lost just one starter in Jose Quintana since acquiring him. Hunter Green started to figure things out before hitting the disabled list, but he struggled with the Cardinals in 2022. But there are several reasons why Cincy appealed in the second game of their Saturday doubleheader.

As much as Green is coming off an injury, the Reds took their time with him. He may still be in a fairly limited pitch count, but he should still have time to break out — in part because of Game 1.

Mike Minor has had some good games, but there’s no doubt that St. Louis is a tough matchup for him. Things should go well for the Cards in the first game on Saturday, but then they have to make a big change and face a hard-throwing right-hander in the nightcap after playing two complete games in a span of 24 hours.

And while the Reds’ forwards will have dealt with the same workload, they will get their preferred fixture on Saturday night. Since August 15, Cincy has a .187 ISO against left-handed pitching.

It’s not every day you get a chance to root for the Braves as an underdog. It makes sense that they aren’t favored here – Aaron Nola is by far the better pitcher in this matchup. However, Atlanta has done a good job backing up Jake Odorizzi at Truist Park, winning four of his six home starts since his April 20 hit against the Angels.

Speaking of rough games, the Atlanta right-hander is coming off one as he gave up four earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings against Seattle on Sept. 11. But in Odorizzi’s starts that follow outings in which he gives up four or more runs, the Braves are 4-1. In each of those wins, he went at least six innings and gave up no more than one run.

Also, quite a few Braves hitters have good numbers against Nola. While he can get his fill of strikeouts on Saturday, he’ll be tough to navigate in a lineup he has history with as they crush right-handed pitching (.219 ISO this month).

While a .600 winning percentage is strong, one might think the Yankees are better than 18-11 when Gerrit Cole starts this year. But if you ignore their rough August, that record improves to 17-6 and things start to make more sense.

If we look at the 18 wins, Cole has largely received strong support from his high-powered offense. Twelve of the Yankees’ 18 wins in Cole’s starts were by multiple runs. With New York’s offense turning around since the start of September (0.194 September ISO against right-handed pitching) and the Brewers’ regression in power against righties since their August outing, the Yankees are in position for another win in lots of runs.

Also, Milwaukee turns to Jason Alexander on Sunday. The Brewers are 4-6 when he starts — and they’ve lost four of those games by multiple runs. He also served as the reliever once for Milwaukee and the Brewers lost that one by a couple of runs as well.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, you can access crisis counseling and referral services by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/ NJ/PA/WV/WY) , 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1- 800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600 (ONT) or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).

21+ (18+ NH/WY; 19+ ONT). Physically present only in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/ONT/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions. DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. Please play responsibly.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.