Odds to win every remaining game on ESPN

It starts again. We like to keep track each week of what the ESPN Matchup Predictor has to say about Ohio State football’s chances of winning each remaining game on the schedule. The Buckeyes’ performance each week, as well as the tape the other teams run, goes into some secret sauce formula run by ESPN FPI.

As the season progresses, the games matter more and with fewer games to watch, it’s interesting to see how the odds of winning each individual game go up or down depending on the workload of Ohio State and all of the teams at the display of his schedule.

Did Michigan close the gap, how did things go for the Penn State matchup? How did the Michigan State loss change things? These are all good questions.

Here’s what ESPN’s matchup predictor has to say about Ohio State football’s chances to win every game remaining on the 2022 schedule.

Saturday, Sept. 24, vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin Badgers cornerback Caesar Williams (21) celebrates in the final seconds of the fourth quarter against Nebraska after a pass attempt is broken by cornerback Fayne Hicks (1) during their football game, Saturday, Nov. 20, 2021, at Camp Randall in Madison , Wis. Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 89.0% (down from 93.5% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 61-18-5

Expected running record: 4-0

Saturday, Oct. 1 vs. Rutgers

September 10, 2022; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights Running Back Samuel Brown V (27) runs with the ball against the Wagner Seahawks during the second half at SHI Stadium. Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 97.6% (vs. 97.2% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 8-0

Expected career record: 5-0

Saturday, Oct. 8, at Michigan State

Michigan State quarterback Peyton Thorne passes against Ohio State during the second half at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing on Saturday, Dec. 5, 2020. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Spartan Stadium (East Lansing, Michigan)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 79.1% (vs. 76.3% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 35-15

Expected career record: 6-0

Saturday, Oct. 22, vs. Iowa

Iowa State safety Anthony Johnson Jr. breaks up a pass by Iowa defensive end Spencer Petras during the Cy-Hawk Series football game Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 95.4% (down from 96.5% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 46-15-3

Expected career record: 7-0

Saturday, Oct. 29, at Penn State

September 10, 2022; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions wide receiver Omari Evans (18) runs with the ball on a punt return during the fourth quarter against the Ohio Bobcats at Beaver Stadium. Penn State beat Ohio State 46-10. Credit: Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Beaver Stadium (State College, PA)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 68.8% (down from 78.1% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 22-14

Expected running record: 8-0

Saturday, Nov. 5, at Northwestern

October 16, 2021; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Northwestern Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald looks on during the first half against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Ryan Field. Credit: Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports

Ryan Field (Evanston, IL)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 98.0% (vs. 96.6% last week)
All Time Series: OSU is 64-14-1

Expected running record: 9-0

Saturday, Nov. 12 vs. Indiana

Indiana’s Connor Bazelak (9) throws during the Indiana vs. Idaho football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 97.8% (down from 98.0% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 77-12-5

Expected running record: 10-0

Saturday, November 19, in Maryland

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Maryland Stadium (College Park, Maryland)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 84.7% (down from 86.5% last week)
All Time Series: OSU leads 7-0

Projected career record: 11-0

Saturday, Nov. 26, vs. Michigan

Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Odds: 73.4% (down from 79.5% last week)
All Time Series: OSU trails 51-59-6

Projected final regular season record: 12-0

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