Those still standing in their Survivor pools have probably been humming the chorus of the Pearl Jam classic “Alive” since escaping on Sunday or Monday. Week 1 took large stretches of the field and saw the Browns do something that hasn’t been done in 2,229 games, blowing a 13-point lead with less than two minutes left on the clock.
That loss and another loss to a team on I-71 in the Cincinnati Bengals wiped out much of the rest of the game in Week 2. The Raiders’ loss to the Cardinals will be a separate chapter in the anthology of the 2022 NFL season. Even some of the popular teams that won didn’t do it easily. The Broncos had all kinds of trouble with the Texans. The Rams looked to blow their 28-3 lead against the Falcons. Only the Packers, 49ers and Bills rolled as they should.
We don’t have any favorites for more than a touchdown in Week 3, so let’s see what the best options are.
GAMES TO THINK ABOUT
Kansas City Chiefs (-7) over Indianapolis Colts
The Colts don’t look like the football team any of us envisioned coming into the season. Matt Ryan looks cooked and Jonathan Taylor has really failed to get going. This line originally looked like Chiefs -3, but it was extended to a touchdown based on the data points we have so far.
The away favorites have been a very dangerous proposition up until this point, but the Chiefs are on extra rest and extra training with Andy Reid and have scored 71 points in two games. The Colts now have five turnovers on the season to go along with just 5.3 yards per play. Kansas City, meanwhile, has one turnover (a fumble) and 6.7 yards per play.
Weeks 9 and 10 are the next best spots to take on the Chiefs as they host the Titans, followed by the Jaguars. They’re also a great team for Week 16 at home against Seattle, but we’re a long way from that.
The angels Chargers (-7) over Jacksonville Jaguars
Keenan Allen has his sights set on a comeback Sunday against the AFC South-leading Jaguars, who are the only team in the division with a win. It’s a much better offense with Allen, but the obvious concern here is that Justin Herbert has a broken rib and it’s very early in the season. With games against the Jaguars and Texans coming up, the Chargers could choose to give Herbert plenty of time to improve while still having a good chance to win with Chase Daniel.
Any hit the QB takes could be the one that takes him out of the game, but there is a higher degree of probability with Herbert’s existing injury. The Jaguars also look a lot better than last season as Doug Pederson is a true head coach and Trevor Lawrence seems to be responding well to his leadership.
It’s too risky to pick the Chargers given this article’s release on Tuesday, but if Herbert is released, that could be the decision later in the week.
Baltimore Ravens (-3) over New England Patriots
This may seem like a risky choice on Survivor, but there is a method to the madness. We have a healthy Lamar Jackson and a Ravens team coming off a stunning loss. John Harbaugh’s team gave up 28 points in the fourth quarter to pry defeat from the jaws of victory, and that humbling experience should set the Ravens up well for Sunday in Foxboro.
The Patriots haven’t even scored 28 points in two games, as they’ve only put up 24 points with minimal offensive success. The Ravens are averaging seven yards per play, while the Patriots have managed just 5.4. New England’s skill and position talent pales in comparison to Miami’s, so Baltimore’s defense should have more success in this matchup. While New England’s defense did a better job against Miami than Baltimore’s, it was also a very easy win for the Dolphins in the Week 1 game by a score of 20-7.
New England’s only offensive touchdown in the second half against Pittsburgh came on a 10-yard punt. The Patriots scored on just 21.1 percent of their possessions to start the season. There were questions about the guys’ offensive play and skills dating back to the preseason, but the answers weren’t forthcoming. A bounce-back Baltimore, even on the road to host New England, actually looks like the safest bet in a very tough week.